Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000165 0.000183 0.000202 0.000223 0.000248 0.000274 0.000305
2025-09-14 0.000135 0.000161 0.000191 0.000228 0.000274 0.000329 0.000399
2025-09-21 0.000112 0.000141 0.000177 0.000224 0.000286 0.000365 0.000473
2025-09-28 0.000095 0.000124 0.000162 0.000216 0.000289 0.000387 0.000530
2025-10-05 0.000086 0.000117 0.000158 0.000218 0.000305 0.000428 0.000617
2025-10-12 0.000080 0.000112 0.000156 0.000224 0.000325 0.000475 0.000717
2025-10-19 0.000072 0.000104 0.000149 0.000220 0.000332 0.000502 0.000789
2025-10-26 0.000067 0.000099 0.000147 0.000223 0.000347 0.000544 0.000890
2025-11-02 0.000062 0.000093 0.000141 0.000221 0.000353 0.000571 0.000971
2025-11-09 0.000058 0.000089 0.000138 0.000221 0.000363 0.000606 0.001067
2025-11-16 0.000053 0.000084 0.000133 0.000218 0.000368 0.000632 0.001152
2025-11-23 0.000049 0.000078 0.000126 0.000211 0.000366 0.000644 0.001209
2025-11-30 0.000046 0.000075 0.000123 0.000212 0.000377 0.000684 0.001331
2025-12-07 0.000044 0.000073 0.000123 0.000216 0.000395 0.000740 0.001496
2025-12-14 0.000041 0.000069 0.000118 0.000212 0.000398 0.000765 0.001599
2025-12-21 0.000037 0.000064 0.000111 0.000204 0.000391 0.000771 0.001662
2025-12-28 0.000035 0.000062 0.000110 0.000207 0.000406 0.000825 0.001840
2026-01-04 0.000034 0.000061 0.000110 0.000212 0.000427 0.000892 0.002063
2026-01-11 0.000032 0.000058 0.000107 0.000209 0.000430 0.000920 0.002194
2026-01-18 0.000031 0.000057 0.000106 0.000211 0.000446 0.000980 0.002416
2026-01-25 0.000029 0.000054 0.000103 0.000209 0.000450 0.001013 0.002573
2026-02-01 0.000028 0.000053 0.000101 0.000209 0.000459 0.001059 0.002775
2026-02-08 0.000026 0.000050 0.000098 0.000206 0.000462 0.001092 0.002944